PanArmenian.Net
13 Jan 2021, 17:37 GMT+10
PanARMENIAN.Net - RAEX-Europe has confirmed the sovereign government credit rating (SGC) of Armenia at 'BB-' (Sufficient level of creditworthiness of the government) in national currency and at 'BB-' (Sufficient level of creditworthiness of the government) in foreign currency.
The rating outlook changed from stable to negative, which means that in the mid-term perspective there is a high probability of downgrading the rating score.
'However, we anticipate the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) to continue to maintain an adequate expansionary monetary policy. In addition, the inflation rate remains low and has risen only slightly closer to the end of the year whereas the banking system demonstrates a stable stance,' the agency said.
'The contraction of the Armenian economy due to the Covid-19 pandemic is higher than expected. As of 3Q 2020, the real GDP plummeted by 6,6% y-o-y and we estimate the overall contraction of the economy to have been around 7,3% by the end of 2020.'
Taking into account both the pandemic and the recent war in Nagorno-Karabakh, the agency expects the real GDP output to turn positive not earlier than by the end of 2021 (in the range between 0,5% and 1,5%) and start approaching its pre-crisis level not earlier than in 2022.
The World Banks said earlier that Armenia's economy will contract by 8% in 2020 and bounce back and grow by 3.1% and 4.5% in 2021 and 2022, respectively.
Get a daily dose of Vietnam Tribune news through our daily email, its complimentary and keeps you fully up to date with world and business news as well.
Publish news of your business, community or sports group, personnel appointments, major event and more by submitting a news release to Vietnam Tribune.
More InformationWASHINGTON, D.C.: President Donald Trump says the United States could soon reach a trade deal with India. He believes this deal would...
Nearly three months after a devastating earthquake struck Myanmar, the country remains trapped in a deepening crisis, compounded by...
Rio de Janeiro [Brazil] July 6 (ANI/WAM): The United Arab Emirates, represented by Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, Minister of Foreign...
Chinese FM urges China, France to uphold multilateralism, rules of free trade China and France should champion multilateralism and...
Birmingham [UK], July 6 (ANI): Indian bowling coach Morne Morkel hailed skipper Shubman Gill after a record-breaking outing at Birmingham,...
Bengaluru (Karnataka) [India], July 5 (ANI): Following his win at the inaugural NC Classic at Bengaluru, India's world champion and...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: The Trump administration has made public a visa decision that would usually be kept private. It did this to send...
MADRID, Spain: Liverpool footballer Diogo Jota and his younger brother, André Silva, have died in a car accident in Spain. Spanish...
LONDON, U.K.: An unrelenting heatwave sweeping across Europe has pushed early summer temperatures to historic highs, triggering deadly...
President Donald Trump's plans to build a space-based Golden Dome missile defense shield have drawn immediate criticism from China,...
NEW YORK CITY, New York: Paramount has agreed to pay US$16 million to settle a lawsuit brought by U.S. President Donald Trump over...
LONDON, U.K.: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer won a vote in Parliament this week to move ahead with changes to the country's welfare...